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A chart shows why Jimmy Garopolo can’t start on a tree lance.

Early in the second quarter, facing third and 3 from their own 32-yard line, the 49ers’ Rookie quarterback Tree Lance gave Brendon Ioak a first-down pass.

In the process, he did something that Jimmy Garopolo was unable to do all year.

No, the completion of the ayuk was not unique, although I will forgive you for thinking so.

Instead, it was made of a kind of lance ایک a laser beam out of numbers, with a protector in the second-year recipient’s bread basket wrapped around it.

It was a big time throw. And I’m not saying this, this NFL grading service is pro football focus.

The first down connection with Iowa was one of two big time throws (real name of the state) that Lance made Sunday vs. Arizona, giving him two more than Garopolo this season.

Another state-of-the-art football focus track for quarterbacks – business-worthy plays. Like BTT, it’s subjective, but the site is quite conservative by definition, so I’m not worried about false positives.

Lance had a TWP on Sunday – its first quarter break. It did not have a sugar coating.

Garopolo has seven this season. In fact, 5.3 percent of his photos this season have been commercially viable.

This is the worst sign in the NFL, even though the rookie Trevor Lawrence is with him.

Combine the two statistics – big time throws and turnover worthy plays – on a chart and you have a matrix that explains what a great quarterback is in the modern NFL.

The rules have changed. As a result, the game has changed fundamentally. There is a contradiction between 2015 and today’s football, so forget the game you knew in the 1900s. Increase the level of high abilities (aka size and speed) of skilled position players in this modern age and good quarterbacks can be broken down by a simple equation.

Risk vs. reward.

And when it comes to that, Garopolo is in his own league.

Ben Baldwin, who works for Athletics and is one of Twitter’s open source data station, Made such a chart.

In the upper right corner are quarterbacks who make big throws without business risk: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson and Keller Murray.

In the lower right-hand corner are risk-taking Quadrant-Lamar Jackson, James Winston and Josh Allen.

It all checks, right?

Then there are the “boring” quarterbacks on the upper left. They are not very dangerous, but they do not threaten to turn the ball. Think of Carson Wentz, Kirk Cousins, and Teddy Bridgewater.

The bottom left quadrant is simply labeled “bad.” These are the people who are always threatening to turn the ball around and turn it upside down a bit. Fraudsters like Lawrence and Zach Wilson are in this quadrant. Such as Ben Rothlsberger, Taylor Heineke and Jared Goff.

And a mile away from all these guys, including the sad goof, is Garopolo.

The 49ers’ veteran is the only quarterback in the NFL with a big time throw percentage of zero. That, plus its NFL-worst business-worthy play percentage.

He is almost off the map. All risk, no reward.

And this chart includes San Francisco Week 1 Game vs. Detroit stats. Thank God, too – Baldwin would have needed to zoom out more if the game, where Garopolo had zero business-worthy dramas, hadn’t been part of the PFF, the data set.

I don’t know what Garopolo fans are doing at the moment to justify his resumption. Organization on the line of criticism? Regardless, the incomprehensible, irreparable things that people are making don’t matter, as long as this chart says it’s the NFL’s worst quarterback.

And make no mistake, it does.

The risk reward chart also does not determine what the quarterback can do with his legs. Lance ran for 89 yards on Sunday to become the leading San Francisco captain. Can Garopolo do that?

Now, Lance barely set the world on fire on Sunday – he’s also in bad quadrant, though he’s besieging Boring – but after this bi-week, there’s no real reason to go back to quarterback. The year is in its infancy class.

The modern NFL is defined by head coaches and quarterbacks. Yes, there are 52 other players and other coaches, but the best teams in the league have great quarterbacks and great head coaches.

Nanners don’t have it yet. Shanehan’s play calling has lost its momentum against a league that faces this type of crime almost every week. (Three of NFC West’s four teams, for example, run a zone offensive scheme outside of Shanahink.) And the Ninners quarterback is either an experienced batsman who knows how to beat the entire league There are mistakes in fraud, or a real fraud

At least the latter is the opposite.

Shana Han has an extra week to prepare for a big game against the Colts on October 24. He has a chance to change direction this season.

And the data in this game is clear – he can’t win with Garopolo. Once, when all was well, he could. But it’s not here and now and that’s all that matters when you’re trying to avoid a fourth straight loss and a lost season.

Now, can Shanhan win with Lance?


The smart thing to do is jump in – stick with Lance for the rest of the season – and find out what it is.

The worst case scenario is that Lance is better prepared for next season.

The best thing is that the 49ers finally have someone to lead them to victory, not just to catch a ride.

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