A Republican majority by default?

This is a remarkable achievement – something that no one else can accomplish. Yet within a few months, President Joe Biden managed to recover. It’s unclear how he did it, but the boom he liked to take credit for is officially over.

Of course, the White House doesn’t want to say that. It would be politically bad to accept the situation as it is now. To avoid this, cabinet secretaries such as Janet Yellen, a senior aide to the president and the Treasury Department, have been forced to use rhetoric to try to explain that this is not really what the data tells us.

Team Biden has skillfully avoided invoking the term that is usually employed after two consecutive quarters of what economists call “negative growth.” Call it what you want – some nice alternative phrases like “economic jo-down” and “jo-op” have already popped up in conversation – economic numbers just don’t help Biden’s cause.

His unpopularity is not new news. recently CNN Survey found that 75% of Democrats planning to vote in 2024 expect someone other than Biden to cast their vote. State by state, Biden has favorable/unfavorable ratings under the water In more than 45—including liberal strongholds like Massachusetts—and even his home state, Delaware, where he’s down to seven.

Why is he so unpopular? Real wages are falling, incomes are falling and prices are rising. It is fact, not opinion or carefully structured analysis. Biden might think there’s a lot of good news out there, that this “i don’t feel like a recession“But it certainly feels like a recession for the American people.

It looks like the GOP’s prospects for control of the US House and Senate augurs well at election time — and by a wide margin. The anti-Biden tide is going to swallow some boats hoping to ride out the storm—as was the case in 1978, 1980, 1994, and 2010, when unpopular policies by White House occupants were pushed into the presidential party seats. Shouldn’t have spent it. Lost it.

Then again, the Democrats seem to be in their worst political shape in nearly 50 years, should one interpret the recent elections as those released last Tuesday. United States of America today, showing them a four-point lead over the GOP—44% to 40%—on the Congressional general ballot? Specifically, namely, “Which party do you want Congress to control after the next election?” After nearly double-digit dominance on the question of Republicans. For several months now.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) speaks during his weekly news conference at the US Capitol on February 27, 2020 in Washington, DC
Mark Wilson / Getty Images

It doesn’t make sense—especially as Rasmussen Report As said last Monday, only 23% of potential American voters think the country is headed in the right direction. The reason for this apparent reversal of the Democrats’ political fortunes may have something to do with statistical manipulation. Pollster John McLaughlin told this publication that United States of America today The two major parties were “in balance at 31%” in the poll, but because it sampled registered voters, not those most likely to vote, “this significantly reduces the GOP generic vote”. “a lot of [the Democratic] The respondents will not vote.”

He may be right. A Rasmussen Report poll of potential voters released Friday found Republicans with five point lead on the general ballot. That’s the opposite. The downside is that voters may turn sour on the GOP—and these new elections may be right, as the GOP is failing to provide voters with an attractive alternative to the Biden agenda.

US elections are usually binary: this candidate or that one. Third party candidates rarely win, and rarely make an impact. Most people choose Democrats or Republicans when they pull the lever. And right now, the GOP is leading the majority by default. They will win because they are not “they” – Democrats. Biden and the Progressives Have Goes Over, Even United States of America today survey showed. They are not winning converts for their cause; They are losing them.

If the GOP wants to lock down its expected majority, it needs to explain to its entire coalition of voters—republicans, moderates, free marketers, social conservatives, and other open independents—what the party plans to vote for the economy. To move, secure America’s borders and position in the world, and bring back the spirit of the nation. And the GOP must do so without driving its potential voter groups to different corners.

It is a tall order that party leaders shy away from embracing. He has about 100 days to come up with a plan to bring all these parts together and help voters make up their mind. In doing so, if that’s what they want, they need to remember the axiom of former House Majority Leader Dick Armie: “When we act like us, we win. When we act like them, So we lose.”

newsweek Contributing editor Peter Roff writes extensively about politics and the American experience. U.S. News and World Report, United Press International, and other publications. He can be contacted by email at RoffColumns@GMAIL.com. Follow him on Twitter @TheRoffDraft

The views expressed in this article are those of the author.

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