Here’s where we are when the mid-term vote drags on: The House is still in the game (leaning to Republicans, barely as estimated by CBS News).
Now that Senator Catherine Cortez-Masto is predicted to win in Nevada, and also after Senator Mark Kelly’s apparent victory in Arizona, the Democrats have likely taken over the Senate. If they win extra time on December 6 between Senator Raphael Warnock and Republican challenger Herschel Walker in Georgia, they will actually get a seat.
“You have to admit, I warned you all that we could spend Thanksgiving together,” Warnock joked.
Based on what usually happens in the middle of a term, concerns over inflation and Republican expectations, the right-wing media and Republican experts predicted a “red wave”. Democrats were to lose, great ones.
“It’s going to be a big red wave, no matter what the media say,” CPAC chairman Matt Schlapp told MSNBC. “Take it to the bank!”
On Twitter, Donald Trump Jr. predicted “Bloody Bath !!!”
And Texas Senator Ted Cruz said on October 28: “We will see not only a red wave, but a red tsunami!”
So what happened to the “red wave”?
On Wednesday, President Joe Biden said: “The Democrats have had a strong night. And we lost fewer seats in the House of Representatives than in the first democratic presidential election in the last 40 years. “
New Yorker writer Susan Glasser, co-author of The Divider: Trump in the White House, 2017-2021, said: “Perhaps it’s best to think of it as Dobbes, denial and Donald. The Democrats made a fairly strong argument that the Republicans had become an extremist party. However, I would like to point out another factor: the political euphemism of this year is the quality of the candidates. And it’s really just another way of saying that the Republicans have run pretty poor candidates in some of these key races, many of them supported and pushed by Donald Trump. “
Think of the TV doctor who became a Senate candidate, Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, who lost.
On Tuesday, Trump told Newsnation: “Well, I think if they win, I should get all the credit. And if they fail, I shouldn’t owe it all. “
Trump’s old followers are pouring in, not just on the front page of the New York Post.
Former Marshal Paul Ryan said, “I think Trump is a bit of a stumbling block on our ticket.”
And on CNN, Alyssa Farah Griffin, who once served as Trump’s White House Communications Director, said: “If you want the Republican Party to prosper, we must finally speak up and say, ‘This man is a sucker. “”
Even the editors of the Wall Street Journal named Trump by the name they hate the most: lost.
But wait: reality check.
Julian Zelizer, professor of history and public affairs at Princeton University and author of Burning Down the House about former Marshal Newt Gingrich, said: “If the balance of power changes in any significant way, the Republicans will take control of the House that will be it had a big impact, and which is still in some respects a successful transition period for Republicans. ”
On Thursday, minority leader Kevin McCarthy made his show on Fox News: “What was our mission? Get the majority, stop Biden’s agenda, and fire Nancy Pelosi.
Power is power. Even if some races are still undecided, McCarthy, the would-be president of the Republican House, has already formed a transition team and consulted with Gingrich (in Zelizer’s opinion, patriarch of ruthless guerrilla warfare).
“If you bet where Speaker McCarlthy will go, the safe bet will be aggressive,” Zelizer said. He will use the language that Gingrich has always promoted. He will try to slander and subject the Democrats and the Biden administration to constant investigation. So wave or wave, anyway, it’s likely to be a stalemate. “
McCarthy is one of more than 300 GOP candidates who have run for state and federal office this year who deny the 2020 election. More than 180 are projected to win so far, including at least four in the races for secretaries of state, election officials, although not in key battlefield states such as Arizona, Michigan and Georgia.
Zelizer said: “This is an issue of 2022. Do those who win have enough power, are they in the right places, or are the elections in 2024 developing in such a way that their influence is still huge? “
After all, these mid-periods set the stage for 2024 – a stage that Trump fully intends to dominate as he is expected to announce his candidacy this week.
For more information:
- Susan B. Glasser, “New Yorker”
- “The Divider: Trump in the White House, 2017-2021” by Peter Baker and Susan Glasser (Doubleday), hardcover, eBook and audio, available on Amazon, Barnes & Noble and Independent
- Julian Zelizer, Princeton School of Public & International Affairs, Princeton University
- Burning the House: Newt Gingrich and the Rise of the New Republican Party by Julian E. Zelizer (Penguin), in Trade Paperback, eBook and Audio format, available via Amazon, Barnes & Noble and Independent
Story produced by Michelle Kessel. Editor: Karen Brenner.
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