GOP eyeing Manchin Dems-only deal in 2024

It is a political risk for Manchin to sign a bill that would impose a corporate minimum tax on large corporations, spend $369 billion on climate and energy, reduce drug prices and expand Affordable Care Act subsidies. The centrist’s desire to be the bill’s top seller—with Democratic leaders deeply unpopular in red states like Manchin—makes him a potential target for a GOP that has often regarded him as an ally of this Congress. .

“His party is very unpopular in the state of West Virginia and what he is doing now is also very unpopular,” said the No. 3 Senate GOP leader. john barrasso of Wyoming, who is also the top Republican on the Munchkin-led energy committee. “We’re going to focus on that seat in 2024. We’ll see what promises can be made to Joe Manchin to agree on this.”

Although Democrats’ party-line legislation is much smaller than last year’s envisioned, it is much larger than the health care-only package that Munchkin was pushing just two weeks ago. Democrats see a lot for Manchin in the bill, most notably the revival of a Black Lung Disability Trust fund that helps care for West Virginia coal miners.

And another integral part of Munchkin’s deal with the rest of his party is a promise later this year to enact an energy permitting law designed to make fossil fuel and green energy projects easier to build – an idea which Barrasso dubbed the “lots of pie” Sky that Democrats are not going to support in the end. ,

When asked for comment about Republicans’ fury over the deal, Munchkin’s office pointed to a number of provisions that would specifically benefit his state: funding for carbon-capture energy projects; dismantling the Mountain Valley Gas Pipeline; Carve out $4 billion for coal communities and health care components that disproportionately help West Virginians. Munchkin’s betting would help make the bill more popular with his constituents, along with his great political run in the state and the bill for retail politics.

But his home-state GOP ally, Sen. Shelley Moore CapitoSaid Manchin had his work cut out to bring the deal back home: “It’s not good for the state, and I think it’s hard to sell in the state,” he said, “he’ll put it in his calculus.” “And make your own decision” on running again in 2024.

For months, Munchkin has been Republican’s best Democratic partner. He helped keep the legislative filibuster unheeded and blocked his own party’s wider Build Back Better Bill. He has been warning about inflation almost as long as chairman of the National Republican Senate Committee. Rick Scott (R-Fla.).

and munchkin’s Political situation strengthens in West VirginiaWhich means his potential opponents sense a rare opportunity in the present moment.

“After laying down the line against some terrible bills being pushed by President Biden and the Left, Joe Manchin simply changed course and left the dam open,” said West Virginia Attorney General Patrick Morrisey. Morris, who lost to Manchin in 2018. May run again in 2024. “I respectfully ask Senator Manchin to change his position and give the vote number.”

State Treasurer Riley Moore is also seen by Republicans as a likely candidate. He is the nephew of Capito and the grandson of former Governor Arch Moore, and is leading the GOP charge against banks for taking climate change risks into account in their loan decisions.

Munchkin himself is dismissing questions about 2024 at the moment – though by refusing to endorse a second term for Biden on Sunday, he took a position that might have helped him in his state. As for the party-line deal with Schumer, Munchkin said, “It’s not about politics.” He has repeatedly stated that the party-line energy, tax and health care bill is neither Republican nor Democratic, but “an American bill”.

“I think this is absolutely necessary for our country,” Manchin said on Monday. “So does it affect me politically or not? I didn’t see it that way and I still don’t see it.”

Manchin yearned to run again in 2018, frustrated with Senate momentum and the Republican leader’s leadership style Mitch McConnell, He has not made a decision on what to do in 2024, according to his allies, and in recent weeks has declined to answer direct questions about his political future.

“For Republicans, we are getting more red and the Biden administration is doubling down on some of the Obama administration things that are tied to the Democratic Party,” Capito said. “Any Democrat is going to get in trouble.”

Three red-state senators to be re-elected in 2024 are integral to the Democrats’ majority: Munchkin, Sherrod Brown ohio and john tester Why Montana? All represent states that have only gotten more Republicans in the past few election cycles, making it important for Democrats to hold on to their seats and place in the caucus for their unique ideological brands.

And Munchkin comes from perhaps the toughest state for any Democrat in the caucus, which is why he was so thoughtful when it came to backing a party-line deal with Schumer. It is abundantly clear that Democrats want him to run for Senate, run for governor, or do something like an independent presidency, rather than retire.

There is almost certainly no one else who can compete in the state Senate race, let alone winning.

“I would like him” to run for re-election, Sen said. Tim Kaine (D-Va.). “But trying to predict what Joe Manchin will do? … He’s a vigorous, healthy person playing a healthy role.”

Marianne Levine contributed to this report.

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