Odds and predictions for Baker Mayfield’s new team

Leading up to the 2022 NFL season, Post Action Betting will release a gambling preview for all 32 teams in the National Football League, including schedules, predictions, win total over/under picks, and prop bets for each team. Today, we’ll be covering the Carolina Panthers. Be sure to check out our Detroit Lions preview published yesterday.

Carolina Panthers (125/1 to win the Super Bowl, Caesars)

2021 record: 5-12, 4th in NFC South

There’s no denying that the Carolina Panthers were a huge disappointment last year. With talented playwrights Christian McCaffrey and DJ Moore, and a youthful and explosive defense, the Panthers should have been able to outperform a 5-12 record.

Some things bothered him. First, McCaffrey’s injuries remain a major issue. The star running back and the engine of his offense have only played a combined 10 games over the past two seasons. Carolina didn’t expect it when Carolina rewarded him with a four-year, $64 million contract after the 2019 season.

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His quarterback game, or lack thereof, was another major reason the Panthers struggled last year. Sam Darnold and his fresh start didn’t work out and he only played 11 games due to injuries.

Now that Baker is traded to Mayfield to potentially resolve his quarterback issues, and with McCaffrey off to a healthy start to the season, should expectations be higher for the Panthers?

Panthers Offseason Moves: Drafts, Trades, Free Agent Signing, Injury Report

  • Traded conditional fifth-round draft pick in 2024 for quarterback Baker Mayfield
  • Former Giants head coach Ben McAdoo appointed as offensive coordinator
  • Signed OL Bradley Bozeman and Austin Corbett, DE Matt Ioannidis, Punch Johnny Hecker. Re-signed CB Donet Jackson. Extended WR DJ Moore.
  • Top 100 draft picks: OT Ikem Ekwonu (No. 6) and QB Matt Coral (No. 94)
Baker Mayfield At Panthers Training Camp
Baker Mayfield at Panthers training camp
Getty Images

Carolina Panthers 2022 Schedule

Week 1: The Cleveland Browns vs.
Week 2: @ New York Giants
Week 3: Saints vs. New Orleans
Week 4: vs. Arizona Cardinals
Week 5: vs. San Francisco 49ers
Week 6: @ Los Angeles Ramso
Week 7: vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 8: @Atlanta Falcons
Week 9: @Cincinnati Bengal
Week 10: vs. Atlanta Falcons
Week 11: @Baltimore Ravens
Week 12: Broncos vs. Denver
Week 13: Goodbye
Week 14: @ Seattle Seahawks
Week 15: vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 16: vs. Detroit Lions
Week 17: @Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Week 18: @ New Orleans Saints

NFL Betting Line: Panthers Win O/U Total

6.5 Wins (FanDuel)

Did the Panthers do enough to compete as a surprise playoff hopeful? Whether you think Baker Mayfield is a particularly good quarterback or not, there’s no denying the fact that he represents a major upgrade at the Panthers’ center for many years.

Last year inevitably deserves to be plagued with Mayfield’s resumes. He struggled with multiple injuries, including labrum tears in his left shoulder throughout the season. He missed games for the first time in his career and saw his completion percentage, touchdowns, quarterback ratings, sacks taken and interceptions all go in the wrong directions.

Bet on the NFL?

Before an injured year, Mayfield looked like a promising young quarterback with a cannon for an arm who made massively good decisions (though there’s still room to grow). In 2020, Mayfield threw for 26 touchdowns and a career-low eight interceptions. that’ll do.

Mayfield has also never acted in a crime that isn’t completely run-of-the-mill. In 2020, in its last healthy season, Cleveland averaged the fifth-highest rush attempts per game in the league.
Call me a Baker believer, but I truly believe that Mayfield can provide this offense with a level of stability and drama that the Panthers have truly lacked.

They have skill-positioning players capable of playing with the ball in their hands and have a fast, athletic youth defense that can be disruptive. Do I think they are going to the playoffs? No, not now, but I believe they can win more than seven games.

Carolina Panthers Head Coach Matt Roulette
Carolina Panthers head coach Matt Roulette
Getty Images

Panthers won the total pick

over 6.5 (+105, FanDuel)

Expert best bets, futures, and props

Mayfield passing touchdown over 21.5 (-112, FanDuel)

Speaking of expecting Mayfield’s bounce-back season, the line to his passing touchdowns is very short. In two of the three seasons prior to last year, Mayfield had thrown for at least 26 passing touchdowns—as noted above, it was one of the most running offenses in the NFL.

The Panthers provide a balanced offense for Mayfield to work his way up the play percentage (16th) by sitting in the middle of the pack last year despite all his issues at quarterback.

Mayfield has more close-to-grip weapons at his disposal and can get a career high in pass attempts. 22 is one low bar for Mayfield to obstruct this offense.

Christian McCaffrey Comeback Pair of the Year (+800, FanDuel)

Christian McCaffrey as a price bet for Comeback Player of the Year. When I wrote that article, it cost +1000. This number has now come down to +800. I still like the bet, but the longer you wait, the more you run out of value.

Christian Mccaffrey
Christian McCaffrey
Getty Images

McCaffrey’s only obstacle is injury. When he was available, McCaffrey’s numbers were still there in the previous season. He compiled 785 scrimmage yards in just seven games, catching 37 of 41 goals while doing so at a healthy 4.5 yards per carry. McCaffrey is an elite double threat running back. Without the notable quarterback returning from a season-ending injury last year, the door is open for anyone with a strong performance to take home the award.

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