The lead is a product of a one-sided campaign so far: Ryan spent more than $8 million on commercials, including $6.5 million on television since May. But until this week, Vance’s campaign had been AWOL from broadcasting that entire time. Thanks to an aggressive small-dollar donation campaign, Ryan has also been far ahead of Vance in the cash dash.
The results of the Ohio race hold major stakes for the 2022 midterm. The Senate is finely balanced 50-50, and Democrats have enjoyed solid turnout in the top swing-state race despite the challenging political climate. Adding another seriously competitive, GOP-held seat to the list of battlefield races in the fall could see him take control of the chamber next year.
Ironically, the flood of negative stories surrounding Vance’s campaign in recent weeks—that he’s struggling with fundraising and that his own party is questioning whether Ryan is ousting him on the airwaves—may That’s got to have a net positive effect on Vance’s campaign. Fundraising has since been raised, and national Republicans have begun buying ads in the race.
According to a person with knowledge of the incident, on Thursday, Vance joined Trump at his golf club in Bedminster, NJ, where he raised nearly $300,000 with a golf fundraiser.
The Vance aide said donors who have lived apart since the primary suddenly started writing checks. And after a bitter primary battle, Vance’s past opponents are now stepping up to lend their support. Jen Timken just put together a fundraiser for Vance, and the campaign is now scheduling additional events with Josh Mandel and Mike Gibbons.
This week, One Nation, the nonprofit part of the external spending machine affiliated with the Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), announced a $3.8 million advertising purchase in the Ohio Senate race. It follows a nearly $1 million television purchase that was launched this week as a campaign collaboration between Vance and the National Republican Senatorial Committee.
In an interview with Politico, Ryan said national Republicans are “panic” about Vance’s prospects and backed down on the idea that his internal poll represented the climax of his campaign.
“We have a lot of room to grow,” Ryan said. “In many ways, this race has been strengthened.” He added: “It will just be about how many more Republican and independent voters we can pull in over the next three months.”
On that front, Ryan is still moving forward. retired sen Rob PortmanFormer Chief of Staff of the U.S. John Bridgeland, a former director of George W. Bush’s Domestic Policy Council, is expected to tap into his state-based Republican, as well as an endorsement writer on Ryan’s behalf in the upcoming Sunday edition of the Cincinnati Inquirer. Rolodex, Politico has learned.
“Tim is spending time in every county in Ohio, including heavily Republican counties in southwest Ohio,” Bridgeland told Politico. “He’s really listening to people, wants to know what their concerns are. And the Jedi Vance is tearing people apart. And the last thing this country needs right now is the worst dimensions of human nature.” More people to ignite.”
Ryan’s internal polling also shows him taking an edge over independent candidates: it showed him 20 points above those voters. According to the poll, Vance has 85 percent name recognition and 50 percent unfavorable ratings, following a bruised and costly Republican primary. Ryan, who enjoyed a smooth ride to his party’s nomination, finds himself with 80 percent name ID and 36 percent unfavorable rating).
But Republicans on the ground in Ohio and national operatives in D.C. say they believe liberal congressmen will fall dramatically as Vance hits the air with positive spots and attacks, particularly Ryan, in the Republican-leaning state. faces advertisements.
“The cash disparity between the two candidates is a concern,” said a person familiar with One Nation’s decision to buy ad time in Ohio, “but they’re hoping for Vance’s victory “if he bridges that gap to some extent.” completes.”
Protect Ohio Values, a Super PAC that backed Vance in the primary with $15 million from Thiel, will also re-spend on Vance’s behalf during the general election, according to a person familiar with the group’s plan. Thiel hasn’t said yet whether he’ll cut another check, but Super PAC has added new donors and intends to spend seven figures on Vance this fall.
Putnam County Republican Party President Tony Schroeder said, referring to Ryan, “What’s next, I believe he’s on his high-water mark now.” “Frankly, we’re in a phase where people aren’t paying too much attention. When the engagement happens, nothing is going to help Tim Ryan.”
Vance has left the campaign trail in Ohio several times this summer, including trips to Conservative Political Action Conference events. But in addition to addressing crowds of activists, the visits have also served as fundraising opportunities. On Friday, before speaking in Dallas at CPAC Texas, Vance headlined the organization’s Donor Breakfast. He also held face-to-face meetings in the donor-heavy city, as he did during a trip to Tel Aviv for CPAC Israel last month.
“A lot of it is midsummer bedwetting, to be frank,” said a person close to the campaign, noting how unpopular President Joe Biden lives in Ohio and how closely the Republican ad seeks to link Ryan to the president. will do.
During his speech on Friday, Vance urged viewers to sign up for the call and knock on doors for his campaign, criticizing Ryan as a “weak, fake congressman.” His comments indicated that there was still a battle to win over voters who were disenchanted with Democrats, “whether they are conservative, whether they vote Republican every time – people who just want a good life in the country that their grandfathers loved.” -Grandma and great-grandfather made it.”
A spokesman for the campaign said Vance was not available for an interview Friday at CPAC Texas.
Ottawa County Sheriff Steve Levorchik said he first met Vance last month, when Vance was traveling to the state and visiting in person with law enforcement leaders. Levorchik took office as a Democrat in 2011, but changed his voter registration to Republican last year. Ottawa, an Obama-Trump county, broke its longstanding Belvedere position in 2020 to endorse Trump for a second term.
Levorchik said that as of now, he plans to cast his vote for Vance, suggesting that some law enforcement circles have distrust for Ryan.
“Is that more perfect than some people wish? Maybe,” Levorchik said of Vance. “But when you only have two candidates to choose from, you have to weigh who actually represents you. Who’s better for that.”