Midwest Florida and the porch remain in Ian Sunday’s line of fire as the tropical storm continues to strengthen and worsen.

Ian is now about 320 miles southeast of Grand Cayman and about 590 miles southeast of Cuba’s western tip with winds up to 50mph, according to an update from the National Hurricane Center on Sunday at 8am.

The hurricane warning is already in force for Grand Cayman, with hurricane observation for the Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud, Pinar del Rio and Artemisa, and with tropical storm observation for the Lesser Cayman, the Brac Cayman Islands and the Cuban provinces of La Habana, Mayabeque and Matanzas.

Ian is expected to move northwest on a Sunday afternoon or evening, passing southwest of Jamaica, and then set off towards the Cayman Islands early on Monday morning. According to forecasters, the storm will close in western Cuba from Monday evening through early Tuesday, and will appear over the Southeast Gulf of Mexico on Tuesday.

Jamaica and the Cayman Islands can see three to six inches of rain, and four to eight inches in western Cuba.

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Waves in the Cayman Islands, Cuba’s southwest coast and the coasts of Honduras, Belize, and Mexico’s Yucatan can create life-threatening surfing and breaking conditions.

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Ian is expected to become a Category 3 hurricane with a wind of 120 mph by Tuesday, and a Category 4 storm with a wind of 140 mph by Wednesday.

Models have Florida in the eye of the storm, but it’s still unclear where exactly Ian will strike: a few show how the storm landed in midwest Florida, while others predict the hurricane will move further west and hit the central or western part of the state .

“Regardless of Ian’s exact route and intensity, there is a risk of dangerous storm surges, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall on the west coast of Florida and West Florida by mid-week, and Florida residents should make sure they have their hurricane plan, follow following any advice from local officials and closely monitor the updates to the forecast, the NHC said on Sunday.

Governor Ron DeSantis declared a state of emergency in Florida on Saturday, activating the National Guard and.

“The threat posed by Ian’s tropical storm requires timely precautionary measures to protect Florida’s community, critical infrastructure and overall well-being,” the ordinance reads.

President Biden also declared a state of emergency and postponed his scheduled trip to Orlando on Tuesday.

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